Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.498614 3.017623 3.601169 4.303409 5.122934 6.046389 7.162883
2025-05-04 1.853681 2.537061 3.389552 4.520568 5.969746 7.751219 10.092035
2025-05-11 1.370412 2.093008 3.078949 4.498885 6.463216 9.052493 12.684547
2025-05-18 1.008842 1.703705 2.731751 4.323682 6.676965 9.968193 14.843717
2025-05-25 0.749464 1.390972 2.413976 4.105926 6.759369 10.668112 16.737841
2025-06-01 0.600872 1.213919 2.258755 4.088877 7.108189 11.755286 19.261091
2025-06-08 0.495523 1.083664 2.149512 4.116369 7.511910 12.944766 22.027058
2025-06-15 0.407403 0.962514 2.029779 4.099187 7.826899 14.009362 24.676438
2025-06-22 0.316278 0.811141 1.823481 3.889496 7.776144 14.460273 26.363190
2025-06-29 0.262831 0.725938 1.727261 3.864961 8.041044 15.450534 29.005703
2025-07-06 0.219193 0.651291 1.637352 3.835682 8.287025 16.420479 31.679941
2025-07-13 0.201397 0.635306 1.669751 4.057409 9.031656 18.333228 36.131598
2025-07-20 0.179019 0.602829 1.662091 4.199514 9.647634 20.086317 40.476651
2025-07-27 0.163274 0.584527 1.684592 4.411162 10.428333 22.213715 45.665136
2025-08-03 0.137819 0.530294 1.608942 4.389612 10.721665 23.437031 49.273218
2025-08-10 0.110385 0.460455 1.478485 4.218042 10.671671 23.982655 51.638302
2025-08-17 0.086710 0.393839 1.341050 4.004933 10.500280 24.263411 53.503227
2025-08-24 0.073565 0.359371 1.285643 3.988239 10.768220 25.455514 57.230918
2025-08-31 0.063650 0.333336 1.249270 4.015132 11.139186 26.888913 61.534490
2025-09-07 0.054162 0.305112 1.199779 3.998319 11.402415 28.111130 65.486361
2025-09-14 0.042410 0.261424 1.089771 3.793172 11.178054 28.254175 67.211875
2025-09-21 0.035955 0.238983 1.045231 3.769171 11.405069 29.410141 71.139139
2025-09-28 0.030424 0.218288 1.001628 3.740530 11.616041 30.544229 75.089838